Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.458350 9.707121 11.096243 12.759483 14.701311 16.902079 19.592874
2025-02-16 6.600219 8.149700 10.017232 12.446025 15.538974 19.369424 24.508672
2025-02-23 5.561481 7.237673 9.378498 12.336676 16.354829 21.674698 29.337848
2025-03-02 4.830211 6.556533 8.866817 12.220662 17.024590 23.747900 34.029711
2025-03-09 4.251169 5.979716 8.386523 12.031286 17.496755 25.525055 38.466729
2025-03-16 3.763667 5.460382 7.905993 11.749654 17.752116 26.958289 42.520238
2025-03-23 3.566814 5.332586 7.964929 12.255567 19.230126 30.396938 50.194753
2025-03-30 3.315221 5.090052 7.816282 12.407112 20.143862 33.023104 56.874259
2025-04-06 3.050971 4.797731 7.554251 12.335335 20.662495 35.029607 62.731861
2025-04-13 2.808226 4.514272 7.274431 12.194903 21.032161 36.799993 68.385216
2025-04-20 2.691287 4.424397 7.300600 12.574373 22.351395 40.415090 78.072580
2025-04-27 2.568788 4.312335 7.275587 12.854824 23.513105 43.869216 87.960109
2025-05-04 2.487491 4.266706 7.365734 13.362999 25.183490 48.557834 101.271662
2025-05-11 2.286405 3.991628 7.022338 13.021899 25.157636 49.861803 107.497188
2025-05-18 2.137734 3.798108 6.809025 12.906108 25.564671 52.099079 116.175522
2025-05-25 2.002819 3.618280 6.604440 12.784122 25.939721 54.307799 125.147778
2025-06-01 1.871103 3.433543 6.374093 12.585116 26.124529 56.116295 133.450285
2025-06-08 1.740150 3.239885 6.110028 12.289197 26.061725 57.352437 140.522191
2025-06-15 1.711755 3.243025 6.233119 12.820798 27.905052 63.250993 160.764578
2025-06-22 1.645395 3.165399 6.186603 12.980059 28.912490 67.289665 176.769447
2025-06-29 1.560762 3.044352 6.040835 12.904627 29.356990 69.999117 189.567439
2025-07-06 1.475877 2.916507 5.870604 12.757048 29.609619 72.255449 201.485042
2025-07-13 1.445682 2.900102 5.935153 13.155847 31.258604 78.378043 226.224006